Preprint / Version 1

Commentary: Immune imprinting and spike protein toxicity—rethinking COVID-19 vaccinesty: rethinking COVID-19 vaccines

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DOI:

https://doi.org/10.51094/jxiv.1398

Keywords:

excess mortality, ecological study, SARS-CoV-2 vaccines, immune imprinting/original antigenic sin

Abstract

This commentary examines recent epidemiological evidence on excess mortality in Japan, particularly in relation to repeated booster vaccinations using Omicron-adapted mRNA vaccines. Drawing on the findings of References 2 and 3, we highlight a concerning shift in vaccine impact: while earlier doses of Wuhan-based vaccines were associated with reduced mortality, later booster doses of Omicron-adapted vaccines correlated with increased excess deaths. We explore the potential role of immune imprinting in weakening neutralizing antibody responses to Omicron spike proteins, which may result in the prolonged circulation of unbound spike proteins and related adverse events. In light of these observations, we call for a re-evaluation of current booster strategies and advocate for a more individualized, risk-based approach to future COVID-19 vaccine policies.

Conflicts of Interest Disclosure

The authors declare no competing interests.

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References

Devanathan, G. et al. Excess mortality during and after the COVID-19 emergency in Japan: a two-stage interrupted time-series design. BMJ Public Health 3, e002357 (2025).

Takahashi, A. Factors contributing to the sharp increase in excess mortality in Japan since 2021 [in Japanese]. J Kibi Int Univ Res Inst Health Welfare 26, 1–12 (2025).

Takahashi, A. Factors contributing to the sharp rise in excess mortality in Japan since 2021. Research Square, (2025). https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.21203/rs.3.rs-6899448/v2

Liang, C. Y. et al. Imprinting of serum neutralizing antibodies by Wuhan-1 mRNA vaccines. Nature 630, 950–960 (2024).

Yonker, L. M. et al. Circulating Spike Protein Detected in Post-COVID-19 mRNA Vaccine Myocarditis. Circulation 147, 867–876 (2023).

Dagan, N. et al. BNT162b2 mRNA Covid-19 Vaccine in a Nationwide Mass Vaccination Setting. N Engl J Med 384, 1412–1423 (2021).

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Submitted: 2025-07-22 09:04:00 UTC

Published: 2025-07-28 06:29:07 UTC
Section
General Medicine, Social Medicine, & Nursing Sciences